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王星事件致泰国游受冲击？从业者称春节赴泰机票退票率超10%，旅行社称安全有保障_我的网站

A |     1月7日，泰国警察护送中国演员王星（左二） 据视觉中国近日，演员王星的遭遇引发大量关注，受该事件影响，泰国旅游受到冲击。有机票预订机构从业者表示，近几天春节赴泰国的机票退订已经超过10%。1月10日，有导游告诉红星新闻记者，有一些游客要求退团，他们不会劝阻，但会按照合同约定进行扣款。    

    The USS Gerald R. Ford departs from Souda Naval Base near Chania on the island of Crete, Greece, on February 26, 2026. Photo: VCGUS President Donald Trump's reported push to reshape the US Navy's next-generation aircraft carriers - from moving the island to abandoning electromagnetic catapults in favor of steam-powered systems - could impose heavy engineering, financial and schedule costs, Chinese military affairs experts said, warning of a widening gap between political preferences and the realities of building some of the world's most complex warships.
The Washington Post reported on Saturday that the US Navy is considering a major redesign of its new Ford-class aircraft carriers to better match Trump's preferred aesthetic, with the president favoring ships that more closely resemble US carriers from the World War II era. One option under study would move the carrier's island farther forward, toward the middle of the ship.
US officials cited by the report warned that such a change could require billions of dollars in redesign costs and cause substantial delays. 
The potential island redesign comes only days after Trump ordered another far-reaching change to the Ford-class program. On Thursday, he signed a national security memorandum directing the Pentagon and Navy to develop a plan within 60 days to replace the Electromagnetic Aircraft Launch System (EMALS) with steam catapults and the Ford-class carriers' Advanced Weapons Elevators with hydraulic systems, beginning with the future USS Doris Miller, or CVN-81, USNI News reported. 
Trump has repeatedly criticized EMALS as "too complex" and "not as effective as steam catapults," according to Reuters. 
But the order would reverse a technology path the US Navy has pursued for more than a decade. When the Navy selected EMALS in 2009, it said the system would lower overall lifecycle costs, require less maintenance than steam catapults and place less physical stress on carrier-based aircraft, per Reuters.
As of March 2026, the USS Gerald R. Ford had conducted 36,863 EMALS launches, according to Pentagon documents cited by Reuters. 
General Atomics, the manufacturer of EMALS, has warned against changing course on the Doris Miller, saying nearly 50 percent of production related to the system has already been completed and that a switch now would create significant cost, schedule and integration risks, according to Reuters. 
Zhang Junshe, a Chinese military affairs expert, told the Global Times on Sunday that the Ford-class carrier's aft-positioned island is not merely an aesthetic choice, but is closely tied to flight-deck efficiency and landing safety. "Moving the island farther aft creates more space around the catapults for aircraft parking and handling, helping shorten launch preparation time, while also reducing airflow disturbance during aircraft recovery," he said. 
Relocating the island forward would not be a simple cosmetic adjustment, but a major redesign affecting weight distribution, buoyancy, flight-deck layout and aerodynamics, with significant implications for both cost and schedule, Zhang noted.
Song Zhongping, another Chinese military affairs expert, told the Global Times that Trump's demand is one thing, but turning it into an actual warship design is another.
"The first four Ford-class carriers have either entered service or are already in different stages of construction, leaving very little room for fundamental changes to their overall designs," Song said. Even the fifth and sixth ships - the future USS William J. Clinton, CVN-82, and USS George W. Bush, CVN-83 - would face considerable cost and engineering consequences if the Navy attempts to overturn their established technological architecture, he said.
The US Navy officially announced the names of CVN-82 and CVN-83 in January 2025, per the US Navy official website. 
"There is an obvious gap between US President's political will and the engineering realities of aircraft-carrier construction," Song said.
Such proposed changes come as Ford-class construction timelines have already grown considerably compared with those of the preceding Nimitz class. The US Congressional Budget Office (CBO) said in April that Nimitz-class carriers typically took seven to eight years to build, while Ford-class ships are currently taking roughly 10 to 11 years. In a separate assessment released this month, the CBO estimated that future Ford-class carriers under the Navy's 2027 shipbuilding plan could cost about $22 billion apiece. 
"Electromagnetic launch represents an advanced direction in aircraft-carrier catapult technology and has far greater development potential than traditional steam catapults," Song said. "If the US gives up electromagnetic catapults and returns to steam catapults, that would be a technological regression and a step backward."
Echoing Song, Zhang said electromagnetic catapults offer more precise control of launch energy and broader compatibility with different types of carrier-based aircraft, while requiring less shipboard space than steam systems with their extensive high-pressure piping.
"Replacing EMALS with steam catapults on a Ford-class carrier already designed around electromagnetic launch would not only represent a technological step backward, but could also turn an attempt to reduce risk into a new source of engineering and system-integration risk," Zhang said.
。1月10日下午消息，原定于2月22日在曼谷举行的陈奕迅演唱会也宣布取消，将全额退款。

B | 有律师表示，消费者以担忧泰国不安全为由取消行程，不属于不可抗力，需要承担违约责任。泰国旅游受冲击明显：有从业者称机票退订率超10%近日，演员王星在泰国遭遇“剧组骗局”，成为全网关注的焦点。受此事影响，泰国旅游业遇到明显冲击。某机票预订公司的员工程先生告诉红星新闻记者，近期他们遭遇大量机票退订或者退订咨询，几乎全是此前预订的春节期间赴泰旅游机票。

C | 程先生发给记者的一份其刚刚在处理的退订截图显示，有一份8人的退票信息，对方向他询问退票会损失多少钱。程先生表示，通过他们预订的机票大部分都是特价票，购买时就已经说明无法退票或会扣除极高的费用，无论是散客还是旅行团，都是统一的政策。“但即使这样还是有很多人选择退票，大概占到总预订的10%以上，并且基本没有什么新增的订单了。”程先生说，很多人都选择更改旅行路线，从曼谷改到吉隆坡等地，也有人选择海南、重庆等国内目的地。

D | 某旅游服务平台工作人员表示，受到冲击最大的是一些低价跟团游；自由行相比之下影响小一些，机票酒店退订情况不是十分普遍。一家私人旅游定制公司的情况与上述说法相呼应。该平台负责人表示，已经预订的客人中没有退订，但有小部分存在担心，已经“安抚完成”。但他也提到，新增的泰国旅游咨询“很少了”。红星新闻记者在社交媒体上看到，有很多预订了泰国行程但表示担忧的情况。网友小蓝告诉记者，她已经决定退款放弃泰国行程，改为国内旅行；此前预订时向旅行社支付了4200元定金，如今旅行社表示定金无法返还，她正在和对方就违约金问题进行沟通。有旅行社表示：游客有所减少，但安全有保障1月10日，记者在社交平台多个从事泰国旅游业务的旅行社直播间看到，评论区几乎全都是“卖了人如何分成”“能否完整回来”“腰不好能不能去”等调侃，部分主播在互动时会强调有安全保障，并希望想要前往的网友和家人协商一致再购买。当日，红星新闻记者以游客身份联系了多家从事泰国旅游业务的旅行社。有旅行社表示，受网上的舆论影响，前往泰国旅游的人数比之前少一点，但不用担心安全问题，旅行团都可以正常成行。一泰国旅游直播间里的评论 网络截图泰国当地的一名旅行社工作人员表示，每年11月份到来年4月份都是泰国的旅游旺季。单纯的旅游不用担心安全问题，首都曼谷的治安很好。该工作人员称，白天有导游陪伴，晚上少出来溜达，不会有安全问题；旅行社也会安排人24小时提供服务。

E | 另一家泰国当地旅行社则提到，只要不去边境，正规的跟团游都是很安全的。一名从事泰国旅游的导游告诉红星新闻记者，正规旅行团有导游、有领队，地接社也都是合作多年的，“只要自己不作不会出事”。该导游表示，近期也有客人选择取消订单，她不会进行劝阻，但会根据合同约定进行扣款。对旅游业的冲击也影响到演唱会市场。陈奕迅2月22日曼谷演唱会门票在12月底已经售罄，销售页面显示不支持退款。王星被骗事件发生后，有购买门票的消费者要求退款被拒，在网上引发讨论。1月10日下午，演唱会组织者上海圣峰文化演绎有限公司发布公告，决定取消这场演唱会，对于从官方售票平台购票的观众将会在十日内全额退款。2024年中国赴泰游客670万人次泰国方面称“泰国不安全”不实公开资料显示，旅游业是泰国的支柱产业，往年冬天特别是春节期间一直是中国游客赴泰国旅游的高峰期。据人民网消息，泰国旅游与体育部在1月1日举行的新闻发布会上通报，2024年有超过3500万人次的外国游客抵达泰国，在该国的消费超过1.6万亿泰铢（约3400亿元人民币）。其中，中国游客最多，达670万人次。

F | 据人民日报2024年12月30日报道，中国已连续多年成为泰国最大旅游客源国。泰国国家旅游局局长塔佩妮表示，自2024年3月中泰两国实施永久免签政策以来，中国游客数量快速增长，预计全年突破730万人次，为泰国旅游业带来约4500亿泰铢的收入。据中国青年网消息，泰国旅游与体育部长索拉翁曾表示，王星事件已经在中国国内引发舆论，传播有关“泰国不安全”的不实消息。索拉翁表示，这类问题并非泰国独有，邻国早已成为犯罪团伙和电信诈骗团伙的活动基地。这些事件是系统性问题，需要多方协作，尤其是邻国之间的合作，才能彻底解决。泰国国家警察总署督察长塔查猜9日接受新华社采访时，提醒到泰的中国访客应警惕声称去邻国工作的邀约，尤其是经过泰国到邻近的第三国，以免落入诈骗集团手中。1月10日下午，记者联系泰国旅游局在国内多个办事处，北京和上海办事处一直无法接通，广州办事处则拒绝接受采访。律师认为不属不可抗力消费者需承担违约责任河南泽槿律师事务所主任付建认为，游客在预订泰国行程后取消，能否获得退款要看合同中的约定。如果合同中明确将此类社会事件列为不可抗力事由，那么消费者有权要求全额退款。如果合同未明确约定这种免责事由，并且消费者单方退票，给航空公司、旅行社造成了一定的损失，对方有权扣除相应费用后退款。付建提到，消费者因个人原因担心泰国的社会状况取消去泰国的旅程，不属于不可抗力等免责事由，通常会认定消费者构成违约。

G | 消费者在同意支付违约金的情况下，有权要求解除合同，并请求退款。伟睿律师事务所律师曹恒民认为，这类取消订单的退款事宜，还是要根据合同约定来进行。目前泰国的情况让一些消费者认为不安全从而取消订单，很难被认定为不可抗力。不可抗力是指不能预见、不能避免并不能克服的客观情况，个人的担心不符合这三个条件。所以消费者取消订单应该属于违约，但如果合同约定的违约金过高，双方协商不成，消费者可以去法院起诉。法律允许针对预期收入损失索赔，如果取消订单并未带来明显损失，旅行社却收取较高违约金是不合理的。红星新闻记者 付垚 刘亚洲 实习生 李盟编辑 郭庄 责编 李彬彬（下载红星新闻，报料有奖！）。

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