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同比涨近三倍！供给收缩叠加多重扰动 美线集运高运价有望延续至年底_我的网站

A |     Breakthrough new research could significantly increase supply of organs for people with rarer blood types waiting for a transplant, reported The Guardian.,A team of scientists from the University of Cambridge have successfully altered the blood type of three donor kidneys. By flushing blood infused with a special enzyme through a human kidney the scientists removed the blood type markers lining the blood vessels of the organ.,The procedure required using a device that is connected with a donor’s kidney to pass oxygenated blood through it - a normothermic perfusion machine. As a result, the organ was converted to type O, considered the universal donor.,Blood Group Compatible,As the blood type of a donor must be compatible with the recipient’s, the new development could increase the supply of kidneys available for transplant.,A kidney from someone with blood type A cannot be transplanted to someone with blood type B, or visa versa. In such a case, the receiving body’s immune system would reject the new organ, interpreting the different blood type as foreign.,So changing the blood type to the universal O would mean the donor organ could be used for people with any blood type.,“Our confidence was really boosted after we applied the enzyme to a piece of human kidney tissue and saw very quickly that the antigens were removed. After this, we knew that the process is feasible, and we just had to scale up the project to apply the enzyme to full-size human kidneys,” Serena MacMillan, a PhD student at the University of Cambridge, said.,Scientists involved in the research, funded by charity Kidney Research UK and due to be published in the British Journal of Surgery, clarified that the outcome might have particular implications for minority ethnic groups.,Science & TechGood News for ABs: Scientists Can Now Change People's Blood Type21 February, 16:34 GMT,Some blood groups such as O Rh positive and B Rh positive are more prevalent among black, Asian and minority ethnic communities. To complicate matters further, some rare blood types are only found within the black, Asian and minority ethnic communities,This typically places them at a disadvantage, as they struggle to find a match. With low donation rates from these populations, stressed the researchers, sometimes such patients wait for as long as over a year for a compatible donor. They cited figures from 2020-21 showing that just over 9% of total organ donations in the UK came from black and minority ethnic donors. On the other hand, black and minority ethnic patients make up 33% of the kidney transplant waiting list.,“It’s very exciting to think about how this could potentially impact so many lives,” added Serena MacMillan.,The “potentially gamechanging” research was applauded by Dr Aisling McMahon, the executive director of research at Kidney Research UK.,The scientists will now test the reintroduction of other blood types and observe how the novel approach in clinical settings.。    　　需求端处于正常旺季补货节奏，集运美线运价一反常态，同比倍增。财联社记者采访集运货代、机构人士了解到，目前美线运价上涨 ，受巴拿马运河水位偏低支撑，但本月中旬受台风影响造成的港口拥堵对美线运价影响更为明显。

B | “短期内很难看到明显回落。”　　供给端运力收缩 美线运价倍增　　“目前尚未出现（走美东线的）客户因巴拿马运河水位问题而转向美西线，但若运河水位继续下降，改走美西海岸的方案或被提上日程。

C | ”运去哪相关负责人告诉财联社记者，从目前美线的货量来看，尚属于正常的旺季补货，但并未出现爆发式增长。　　货量方面来看，联宇集团联合创始人高光裕对财联社记者透露，从其公司情况来看，美线货量同比增幅达到两到三成，主要为电商货，预计9月份电商货与传统大贸货将达到出货高峰。“美线当前的运价同去年同期相比涨了约1-2倍。”　　据高光裕介绍，目前美西航线普船运价基本维持在5000-6000美元/FEU，海洋联盟的运价在6000-7000美元/FEU；以以星航运为代表的快航运价约8000-9000美元/FEU， 美森轮船则更贵。

D | 而目前美东航线的运价约是美西航线的1.2-1.3倍。　　前述运去哪相关负责人称，从今年的运价走势看，美东航线运价从4月初大约三千多美元/FEU涨到现在近九千美元/FEU，美西航线从两千多美元/FEU涨到七千美元/FEU左右，整体舱位状态偏紧。　　船公司报价方面，根据极羽科技提供的数据，以船公司最低报价数据来看，截至8月21日，上海至洛杉矶/长滩港的报价为5640美元/FEU，较去年同期增长297%；较上月同期环比增长12.9%。　　究其原因，与当前供给端收缩有关，同时巴拿马运河水位下降或运价有放大作用。　　“从公司内部数据来看，目前观察到第35周的美西航线运力较前一周收缩了4%左右，美东航线运力也有一定程度收缩，叠加国内此前受台风影响的港口拥堵、空班造成的紊乱，市场尚未消化，同时巴拿马枯水期减载也会影响整体市场运力，供给端收缩对运价的推动比需求端更明显。”前述运去哪相关负责人进一步表示。　　其中，巴拿马运河水位偏低及通行限制，惠誉评级亚太区企业、基础设施建设及项目融资董事汪湛认为，对运价上行起到了明显的放大和支撑作用。运河通行受限会压缩航线有效运力，延长船舶周转周期，并增加整体运输组织难度，从而强化市场紧张预期。该因素主要对美东及美湾航线影响尤为突出，在需求回暖的环境下，会进一步放大供需错配，促使运价维持在相对高位。

E | 　　“本轮高运价或持续至年底”　　而本轮高运价，业内人士皆预计，短期内很难看到回落，预计延续至年底。　　“上一次美东航线均一费率（FAK，Freight for All Kinds Rates）站上五位数，还是公共卫生事件期间，但不同的是，此次运价并不如当时的脉冲式暴涨，而是处于高位震荡、易涨难跌的状态。”前述运去哪相关负责人透露，Q3之内运价很难看到明显回落，而巴拿马运河的影响可能持续至明年Q1。　　高光裕也认为，整体来看，叠加下半年的出货旺季，本轮美线高运价或持续到年底。　　除此之外，汪湛表示，美线维持高运价，预计会对欧线形成一定外溢影响。“但这种影响更多是结构性和阶段性的，难以演变为同等强度的同步上涨。其传导路径主要体现在运力资源向美线倾斜后，欧线边际供给收缩，以及船公司挺价意愿增强所带来的联动效应。”　　汪湛进一步分析称，如果美线高景气持续时间较长，且船公司继续将更多运力配置到美线，欧线短期内确实可能出现运价被动抬升，或下行压力阶段性缓和的情况。不过，欧线走势最终仍取决于其自身供需基本面。

F | 若欧洲需求修复力度有限，而运力供给整体仍较充裕，那么美线的强势对欧线的带动作用通常相对有限，难以复制美线的上涨斜率和幅度。　　目前，欧线运价方面，以上海至鹿特丹航线为例，根据极羽科技数据，截至8月21日，该航线最低报价为3930美元/FEU，较上月同期的4808美元/FEU下降18.26%。　　不过，截至8月21日收盘，集运（欧线）期货EC涨幅明显，EC2610、EC2611合约涨幅超过11%，EC2612、EC2701涨幅超过9%。　　班轮公司层面，A.P.穆勒-马士基（A.P. Moller-Maersk A/S，OMX：MAERSK-B）日前发布的H1财报显示，基于2026年第二季度的实际业绩表现，以及对今年余下时间市场走势的判断，马士基上调2026年全年财务业绩指引，马士基预计全年基础息税折旧及摊销前利润为105亿至125亿美元（此前预计为80亿至100亿美元）。　　国内班轮公司中远海控 （601919.SH）方面，根据公开数据，截至今年Q1，公司共经营308条国际航线（含国际支线），其中包括欧、美航线。其旗下东方海外国际（00316.HK）的OOCL，航线网络覆盖亚洲 、欧洲、美洲、非洲及澳大拉西亚。（文章来源：财联社）。

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