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海南广西广东福建等地有强降雨 北方多分散性阵雨或雷阵雨_我的网站
一 | NEW YORK -- The yield on the 10-year Treasury has reached 5% for the first time since 2007. That matters for everyone, not just Wall Street. Treasury yields have been climbing rapidly, with the 10-year yield rallying from less than 3.50% during the spring and from just 0.50% early in the pandemic. Monday morning, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was at 4.96% after hitting 5.02% earlier. The jump means the U.S. government must pay more to borrow money from investors to cover its spending.It also directly affects people around the world, because the 10-year Treasury yield is the centerpiece of the global financial system and helps set prices for all kinds of other loans and investments. Besides making it more expensive for U.S. homebuyers to buy a house with a mortgage, higher yields also put downward pressure on prices for everything from stocks to cryptocurrencies. Eventually, they could help cause companies to lay off more workers. Higher yields mark a sharp turnaround for a generation of consumers and investors who have known pretty much just low yields, as central banks kept benchmark interest rates pinned at nearly zero. Such low rates let people borrow money more easily, which helped economies to strengthen following the 2008 financial crisis, the European debt crisis and other maladies including, most recently, the COVID-19 pandemic. The low rates led to rising prices for houses, stocks and other investments, but they may also have encouraged too much risk-taking and spurred investment bubbles.Now, central banks are more concerned with getting high inflation under control. To do that, they raise interest rates and hope the higher costs to borrow will starve inflation of its fuel by bringing down spending. The Fed's main interest rate affects extremely short-term loans, those that banks charge overnight. The Fed has already pulled its federal funds rate to the highest level since 2001, and it's debating whether to hike it one more time. Either way, it's signaled plans to keep rates high for a while to successfully suffocate inflation. The 10-year Treasury yield has been catching up to the Fed's main interest rate after a string of reports has shown the U.S. economy remains remarkably resilient. While that calms worries about a possible recession caused by high rates, it could also keep upward pressure on inflation and shorter-term rates. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Thursday that many other factors could be contributing to the swift rise in the 10-year Treasury yield. They include the U.S. government's big deficits, which require more federal borrowing, and the Fed's ongoing efforts to reduce its trove of bond investments built earlier to keep yields low. On the wonkier side, bond prices have also been falling in tandem with stock prices more often than they used to. That's unnerving for investors who usually see bonds as the safer part of their portfolios, and it could be pushing them to demand higher yields to own them.The rise in the 10-year Treasury yield most directly means the U.S. government has to pay more to borrow money for 10 years. But because the 10-year yield is the reference point for financial markets, it also quickly filters out into all kinds of loans. Even for companies with the best credit ratings, the interest rates they borrow at are set by adding some extra on top of whatever the U.S. government is paying for its Treasurys. Borrowers with worse credit ratings have to pay more extra than those seen as good bets to repay their debts.More expensive borrowing keep U.S. households from spending as much and companies from expanding as much, which should eventually hit overall U.S. economic activity. More immediately, because a 10-year Treasury is seen as one of the safest possible investments on the planet, its yield swiftly sways prices for all kinds of investments. When a super-safe Treasury is paying much more in interest, investors feel less need to pay high prices for a Big Tech stocks, cryptocurrency or other investment that carries more risk. It's a big reason the S&P 500 has seen its gain for the year so far tumble from 19.5% at the end of July to 10% as of Friday. Higher U.S. yields also attract more investments from abroad, which means investors are increasingly swapping their currencies for U.S. dollars. Since the end of July, the U.S. dollar has climbed roughly 4% against the euro, 5% against the British pound and 6% against the Australian dollar. While a stronger dollar helps U.S. tourists buy more stuff when they're abroad, it can also add financial pressure and heighten inflation for other countries, particularly in the developing world. Even for U.S. bond investors, the swift rise in bond yields has brought losses of their own. When new bonds are paying higher yields, it makes the older, lower-yielding bonds already sitting in investors' portfolios or mutual funds less attractive and knocks down their price.The largest U.S. bond mutual fund has lost roughly 3% so far in 2023 and is on track for a third straight yearly loss. That's never happened since its birth in 1987.。 中新网8月21日电 据中央气象台网站消息，昨日，海南、福建、浙江、安徽、河南、黑龙江等地部分地区出现强降雨。受南海热带低压和西南季风共同影响，南海海域以及华南南部、浙江、福建、台湾等地有持续风雨天气，注意做好次生灾害防御。
二 | 内蒙古中东部、东北地区、华北、黄淮等地多雷雨和强对流天气，关注对交通、旅游、户外活动等的影响。 海南福建浙江安徽河南黑龙江等地部分地区出现强降雨 昨日，海南中西部、广西中部、云南西部和北部、四川南部、重庆中北部、福建东部、浙江东部、台湾南部和北部、安徽北部、河南东部、山西、黑龙江西北部等地部分地区出现大到暴雨，局地大暴雨(100～217.4毫米)，上述部分地区最大小时降雨量40～106.3毫米。 海南广西广东福建等地有强降雨 未来三天，受南海热带低压及西南季风影响，海南岛、广西南部、广东、福建、台湾岛、浙江等地部分地区有大到暴雨，局地大暴雨。此外，四川盆地南部、重庆、湖北西部、江苏北部、山东半岛、云南南部、西藏东南部等地多分散性强降水。 预计，8月21日08时至22日08时，广西南部、广东南部和东部、海南岛西部、福建东部和南部、江西南部、台湾岛大部、浙江中东部、江苏东北部、山东半岛、湖北西部、重庆北部、四川盆地南部、云南南部、青海西南部、内蒙古中东部、黑龙江中部等地部分地区有大到暴雨，其中，海南岛西部、广西南部沿海、台湾岛南部等地部分地区有大暴雨(100～200毫米)。上述部分地区伴有短时强降水(最大小时降雨量20～50毫米，局地可超过70毫米)，局地有雷暴大风等强对流天气。中央气象台8月21日06时继续发布暴雨蓝色预警。 全国强降雨落区预报图(8月21日08时-22日08时) 北方多分散性阵雨或雷阵雨 未来三天，西北地区东部、内蒙古中东部、华北、东北地区等地多阵雨或雷阵雨，部分地区有分散性大到暴雨，局地伴有雷暴大风或冰雹等强对流天气。
三 | 国内未来三天具体预报 8月21日08时至22日08时，广西南部、广东南部和东部、海南岛西部、福建东部和南部、江西南部、台湾岛大部、浙江中东部、江苏东北部、山东半岛、湖北西部、重庆北部、四川盆地南部、云南南部、青海西南部、内蒙古中东部、黑龙江中部等地部分地区有大到暴雨，其中，海南岛西部、广西南部、台湾岛南部等地部分地区有大暴雨(100～200毫米)。新疆北部、内蒙古东部、山东半岛、辽东半岛等地的部分地区有4～6级风；黄海南部、东海大部、台湾以东洋面、南海大部、琼州海峡、北部湾、巴士海峡有6~7级风，阵风8~9级。 图2 全国降水量预报图(8月21日08时-22日08时) 8月22日08时至23日08时，内蒙古东部、黑龙江西部、吉林西部、辽东半岛、山东半岛、江苏东北部、福建东部、台湾岛大部、广东东南部、广西南部、海南岛西部、青海东部、甘肃中部、四川盆地南部、云南中南部、西藏东南部等地部分地区有大到暴雨，其中，广西西南部、台湾岛南部等地部分地区有大暴雨(100～230毫米)。
四 | 新疆南部、内蒙古中东部、山东半岛、辽东半岛等地的部分地区有4～5级风；东海南部海域有6～7级、阵风8级的东南风，台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡、北部湾、南海西北部海域有6～7级风，阵风8级。 图3 全国降水量预报图(8月22日08时-23日08时) 8月23日08时至24日08时，黑龙江北部、吉林东南部、辽宁东部、宁夏南部、山东半岛南部、福建南部、台湾岛大部、广东东部和南部、广西南部、海南岛北部和西部、云南西部和南部等地部分地区有大到暴雨，其中，海南岛北部、台湾岛南部等地部分地区有大暴雨(100～240毫米)。新疆东部、内蒙古中部、山东半岛、辽东半岛等地的部分地区有4～5级风(见图4)；北部湾有7～8级、阵风9级的偏西风，东海大部海域有6～7级、阵风8级的东南风，台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡有6～7级、阵风8级的偏南到西南风。 图4 全国降水量预报图(8月23日08时-24日08时) 【编辑:张燕玲】。
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